The Animal is STILL on the prowl!!!

Animal another easy Best Bet Monday w/ 4 1/2* 'OVER' by 42-points!


10* Totals Club now 10-4 NFL 10*'s and 7-1 last eight rated 10* overall w/ 'OVER' in MNF 


Animal hits 5* on Saints 48-7. Back-to-back no brainers in NFL for a change. Rarity in the NFL these days!

 

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Thanksgiving Day NFL/NCAA Thursday by 11AM ET!  4 1/2* 'OVER' MNF!


Analysis of 5* New Orleans -7

 

Drew Brees is never short on receiving credit and rightfully so as his numbers are simply off the charts. But what's shocking to me about the 2018 New Orleans Saints is the fact they lead the NFL in defending the run allowing 80.1 yards per game.  A season ago they were #27 in yards allowed and permitted over 28-points per game.  This year they've yielded 20 or less points in 5/6 and 23 or less in 6/7.  NOBODY could see that type of improvement coming.  Granted the forward pass and ability of the quarterback has certainly changed today's NFL.  But the bottom line still is if you can run the football and also stop the run you have an excellent chance of winning and covering spreads. The Saints lead the NFL with 17 rushing touchdowns. By comparison, 22 teams have eight or less.  Kamara and Ingram are easily the best 1-2 punch in the game and Kamara has 55 receptions on the season and is virtually unstoppable out of the backfield.  Between departures in the off-season and injuries the Eagles just are not the same team. Nobody runs harder than Jay Ajayi but with him injured and Darren Sproles out the Birds aren't getting the consistent ground game they had last season. Carson Wentz isn't the same guy either as he's getting rid of the ball quicker rather than waiting for plays to develop.  Now with corner Ronald Darby sidelined it makes it difficult for the Eagles to blitz and nobody picks it up better than Brees anyway.  About the only positive is tackle Lane Johnson should be back after missing the Dallas game.  But they are going up against a freight train. The Saints have won 5/6 by double-digits and last week embarrassed Cincinnati on the road. How effective has Brees been? He's only been sacked nine times all season and is completing 77 percent.  Brady has been sacked 16 times and Rodgers 30.  The Eagles are 2-12 ATS facing opponents off two or more consecutive wins.  The Saints have COVERED seven straight. Last week at halftime they had 21 first downs. Only the Rams have scored on the Saints and they still lost by 10.  UNSTOPPABLE!  Tease it, parlay it, whatever you need to do. 


HOOPS, HOOPS, HOOPS (soon):


Maingate 21-0-1 from March 7th thru NCAA Title game 25*/15* plays


Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game


Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*'s last 3 years


Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018

 

Analysis of MNF 3* NY Giants/49ERS 'OVER' 44 1/2:


Oh what a game!  This is not for the squeamish. The Giants are 0-9 ATS as Monday night non-divisional underdogs while the 49ers are 0-10 ATS as a home favorite recently.  The Giants are 4-21 straight-up in their last 25 games and since the 2008 Super Bowl 34-54 straight-up.  But can you trust a favorite with a QB in Nick Mullins making his second lifetime start and with a team that somehow has lost nine straight games to the Arizona Cardinals?  I went with the "off a bye week" theory last night against a team with a short week to prepare and travel and it went belly-up with the Eagles.  Tonight we know that west-coast teams are 91-47-4 ATS (66 percent) when hosting a prime-time game with a 5PM or later Pacific Time kickoff.  Mullins looked great last week albeit versus the Raiders.  His 151.9 QB rating was the highest by a signal caller with at least 20 attempts since the merger.  But I'm not sure if that's a reflection on Mullins or how bad the Raiders are.  Eli Manning has been sacked a league-high 31 times this year. That's as many sacks as he endured all of 2017.  The Giants' defense has just 10 sacks. That is #31 in the league in that category. The bottom line is the Big Blue is just horrible in the trenches and Eli doesn't have time to wait for a receiver to get open.  Plus the 49ers defense will be extremely aggressive tonight coming off eight sacks against Oakland and they have 24 this season compared to 10 for the Giants. But offensively the 49ers figure to miss injured wide receiver Pierre Garcon, who leads all flankers on the team with 24 receptions. Tight end George Kittle is the #1 target with 41 catches on the season including four last week versus the Raiders for 108 yards.  Matt Breids and Alfred Morris share the running back position.  I think the Giants have more skilled-positional players with RB Barkley and WR Beckham but the 49ers should really own the trenches.  Both teams give up better than 25-points per game and don't forget prior to the Raiders win the 49ers had lost six straight games.  Eli is looking for his third straight 300-yard passing game.  Saquon Barkley has had nine catches in each of his last three games and he should have a field day in this one.  Beckham has had eight catches for at least 130 yards in three of his past four games. In Eli's last three road games he's had 1,022 passing yards with a 5-2 ratio. His statistics on the road far exceed those at home as the Big Blue put up 31 at Carolina, 27 at Houston, and 20 at Atlanta. By comparison, 13, 13, and 18 in their most-recent three home games.  I really have a difficult time trusting either of these teams. But by today's NFL standard, this total is rather low and these two defenses have given up points this year (25 or more per).  I'll use 'OVER' although it's been fairly rare this year to have an 'OVER' both Sunday and Monday nights so I'm not going berserk in this one.  The 49ers are 4-0 'OVER' following a straight-up win while the Giants are 18-5 'OVER' after allowing 150 or more rushing yards last time out.  Both teams are obviously out of it and I think Mullins should have time to exploit a poor New York defense with little pass rush. The Giants are 9-2 'OVER' vs. NFC West opponents. 'OVER' tonight as a 3* regular. 44 1/2* is the best I could find.

 

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Football season in reality begins this week with week #1 of college football staring Thursday, August 30th.  This is my 39th season in the business.  I'm currently making final decisions on the panel for the Modified Consensus. As always if you have any questions contact Mark directly at animalsports@msn.com. 


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