The Animal is STILL on the prowl!!!

Maingate Group 25* Baylor!  12-3 last 15 in RED.  25* expected Sunday


Animal 3-1 Majors Saturday w/ 4 1/2* USC 'OVER' 47


Sunday NFL Modified Consensus NOW!


$38 Sunday @ 11:15AM ET or $149 thru Turkey Day 11/28


Texas SW 5* hits w/ Texas. 5* NFL Sunday NOW on MC. 2-0 NFL 5*'s


10* Totals Club 10* Ohio State 'OVER'.  King nails 5* on Ball State 'OVER' 


Perfect Friday:  J.J. 25* Marshall. 10*  Totals Club 10* Marshall 'UNDER'


Check it out: Service plays in RED are 7-1 since Monday!  Start of a streak?


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3-1 NFL Majors last 2 days.  Missed 4-0 by a foot (Carolina)


Analysis of 4* Seattle +6 on 11/11:

San Francisco is without two significant starters tonight in tight end George Kittle and linebacker Kwon Alexander.  There's no question the 49ers are having a dream season at 8-0 although six of their wins have come against teams with losing records and how much can a team improve from one season after 4-12 without Jimmy G?  I'm a little surprised they are favored by this many considering Russell Wilson is 12-3 straight-up and ATS against SF lifetime and the Seahawks are 4-0 on the road this year having covered six straight in the role of an underdog.  Last night we witnessed a MVP candidate in Dalvin Cook take over a game in primetime and it would not surprise me if Russell Wilson did the same tonight. Wilson, with five more TD passes last week, leads the league in the category with 22 versus just one pick, and his QB rating of 118.2 is also tops in the league and far exceeds his previous high of 101.8.  Plus I found it curious the 49ers in their last game surrendered a season-high 25-points at Arizona versus a mobile QB in Kyler Murray.  Wilson arguably is the best scrambling QB in the game.  It's also very hard to oppose Wilson in primetime. He's 7-2 on MNF and 23-5-1 lifetime in NFL primetime games.  Tonight he also gets a new target and deep threat in Josh Gordon.  The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS the last three seasons on the road when the posted total is between 45.5-49 points. On paper, Seattle’s game against the undefeated 49ers at Levi’s Stadium is as appetizing as any in recent “Monday Night Football” history. To cite one stat, the winning percentage of the two teams (the 49ers are 8-0, Seattle is 7-2, for a combined 88.2%) is the third best in any game in MNF history played in week 10 or later.  Seattle's defense has been much maligned this year after countless terrific seasons with the legend of doom.  The defense has been the primary culprit, Seattle allowing 25.6 points per game, more than all but 10 other teams.  Veterans Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright, the only two defensive players left from the Super Bowl teams, each essentially called out the defense this week, saying the discipline and trust in each other and the system need to be better.  “I feel like we have that capability, we have that in us,’’ Wagner said. “We just have to do it consistently.’’ Monday would be an ideal time to start doing that against a 49ers offense averaging 29.3 points per game, third most in the NFL.  Seattle isn’t far behind at 27.6 per game but now faces a San Francisco defense that is first in the NFL in fewest yards allowed (241 per game) and second in points (12.8 per game).   With 46-18-1 ATS record under the Monday night lights, there is no arguing that San Francisco is truly the “King of Monday Night Football.”  However, in division play, the 49ers have experience a few problems lately posting a soft 19-28-1 SU and 18-29-1 ATS record.  In this setting tackling a foe that arrives off a straight up win, the Niners drop to a weak 7-15-1 ATS including a nasty 1-7-1 ATS if they carry a team won/loss percentage of .650 or better.  To make matters worse, San Francisco is on a dismal 2-10 ATS run in its last 12 when priced as a favorite of -5 or more.  Seattle is 9-0-1 ATS since 10/8/2017 as an underdog off a game as a favorite.  The 49ers meanwhile are 0-7-1 ATS since 11/22/1998 as a favorite following a game in which they had 300 or more passing yards.  I found that one astounding.  There's some conflicting numbers for sure. For instance MNF undefeated teams this late in the season are 48-13 straight-up and 42-17-3 ATS dating back to 1980. That includes 21-2 straight-up 16-5-2 ATS the last 23 times it has occurred. But Russell Wilson is the intangible.  He's 8-0 ATS in his last eight games as an underdog; 8-1 ATS in divisional games; and 11-2 ATS against opponents with a .700 or higher winning percentage.  Seattle lost on this field 26-23 last December. Coach Carroll is 6-1 ATS in revenge games within division and prior to that defeat the Seahawks were 10-0 straight-up in this series.  Bottom line is I think you have to take Seattle and especially considering the two cogs in the SF attack that are missing from sentence #1.  So many of the San Francisco offensive and defensive numbers were amassed by miserable teams. This is excellent value with Wilson based on historical numbers. 


Analysis of 4 1/2* KC 'OVER' on 11/10:

Go 'OVER' in the KC/Tennessee game. The Chiefs totaled 80-points in their last three games with Patrick Mahomes on the sidelines. Obviously they are more than a one-trick pony.  But yielding 28 or more points in 4/7 tells me they won't be able to stop the resurgence of the Tennessee offense with Ryan Tannehill at the controls. The Titans have scored 20 or more points in their last three games which might not sound like much until you comprehend they had 55 points in total in their previous five games before the QB change.  KC is 6-0 'OVER' since 11/27/2016 when the opposing QB was sacked four times or more in his previous game.  KC also 8-0 'OVER' since 12/3/2017 when on the road playing a non-divisional opponent. KC is averaging 37-points per game away this year.  The Titans are 3-0 'OVER' with Tannehill.   The Titans are 6-0 'OVER' at home since the start of the 2018 season when facing poor passing defenses that allow 61 percent or more completion ratio.  It would not surprise me in this game if KC runs up the score considering the Titans have some defensive injuries and are prone to QB sacks plus the Chiefs have revenge on their mind following that Arrowhead defeat in January of 2018 (playoffs). 


NCAA Hoops recap:


Animal 38-21-1 last 40 Days w/ NCAA Majors missing Texas Tech in OT Monday

 

4/8: 4* Texas Tech +1 1/2  Loss

4/6: 5* Auburn/UVA 'OVER' 132  Loss

4/5: 4* Liscomb +2  Loss

4/2: 4* Lipscomb -1  WIN

3/31: 4* Ky 'OVER' 142 1/2  WIN

3/30: 4* Gonzaga 'OVER' 136 1/2  WIN

3/29: 4* Duke 'OVER' 143  WIN

3/29: 4 1/2* UNC -5 1/2  Loss

3/28: 4* Oregon +8 1/2  WIN

3/26: 4 1/2* Wichita State +4 1/2 WIN

3/25: 4* West Va -10  Loss

3/24: 4* Houston -6  WIN

3/23 4 1/2* Villanova +3 1/2  Loss

3/23: 4* Kentucky -5  WIN

3/22: 4 1/2* Wisconsin 'OVER' 116 1/2  WIN

3/21: 4* Gonzaga 'OVER' 152  Loss

3/21: 4* Belmont +3  WIN

3/21: 4* Auburn -5 1/2  Loss

3/20: 4* Alabama 'UNDER' 144  Loss thanks to OT

3/19: 4 1/2* Hofstra +9  WIN

3/19: 4* Belmont -3  WIN

3/17: 4 1/2* Auburn/Tenn 'OVER' 144:  WIN

3/16: 4 1/2* Wichita State +5 1/2  WIN

3/16: 4* Kentucky -1 1/2  Lose

3/15: 4* Xavier +7 1/2  WIN

3/15: 4* South Carolina +8 Loss by 9

3/15: 4* St Bonaventure 'UNDER' 130  WIN

3/14: 4* Wichita State -11  WIN

3/14: 4* Iowa -4 1/2 WIN

3/14: 4* Duquesne +2  Loss

3/14: 4* Fla State +1  WIN

3/13: 4* Texas A&M -3 1/2  WIN

3/13: 4* Air Force -11  WIN

3/12: 4 1/2* Gonzaga -8 1st half/-14 game (split action).  Loss

3/12: 4* Georgia Tech +2  Loss

3/11: 4* Hofstra 'OVER' 147  WIN

3/11: 4* Hofstra -10 1/2 Loss

3/10: 4* USF -2  Loss

3/10: 4* Penn State -8  WIN

3/9: 4* Washington -2 in the 1st half.  Loss

3/9: 4* Xavier -3.  WIN

3/9: 4 1/2* Ky 'OVER' 128.  Loss

3/9: 4* Boston College +3 1/2 Loss

3/8: 4* Drake 'UNDER' 140. Push.  86 in 2nd half after 54 in 1st half

3/7: 4* UCF -2  WIN

3/7: 4 1/2* Houston -12 1/2  Loss by 1.5 points

3/6: 4* Clemson 'UNDER' 133 WIN

3/6: 4* Dayton -6 1/2 1st half  WIN

3/5:  4* Miami Ohio/Kent 'UNDER' 144 WIN

3/5: 4* Wisconsin-Green Bay -3  WIN

3/3: 4* Texas Tech -4 1/2 1st half  WIN

3/2: 4 1/2* South Florida +4  WIN

3/2: 4* Stanford +1 1/2  WIN

3/1: 4* Drake +4 WIN

3/1: 4 1/2* Penn State +6 1/2  WIN

3/1: 4* Houston 'OVER' 133 1/2  Lose by 1/2-point

3/1: 4* Utah State +1 WIN

2/27: 4* Towson State +3  WIN

2/27: 4* UAB +1  Lose

2/26: 4* Northern Iowa +1 1/2  WIN

2/26: 4* Nevada 'OVER' 152 1/2  WIN

 

The Animal has flat out owned Super Bowls:


Animal 13-2 the last seven years w/ Super Bowl sides & totals.


Animal hits final two Football Best Bets w/ New England and Saints 'UNDER'

 

 

2018 Hoops Recap

 

Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game


Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*'s last 3 years


Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018.   

 


Modified Consensus is flat out scary w/ Big plays in RED:


158-103 Hoops as of 2/27/2019

33-16 Bowls Final

 

 

Bowl Service Plays in RED finish 33-16 on season w/ 10* Totals Club hitting 10* on Clemson 'OVER'

 

December 31st, 2018.  A day that will live in infamy in the Consensus Biz!


Service plays in RED finish 16-6 on New Years Eve & New Years Day combined.  That's 33-16 in all Bowls in RED this postseason! 


& what a football season J.J. is having.  86-48 in NCAA Football including 10-4 in Bowls!  


Analysis of 5* New England in Super Bowl 53:

 

Do you really believe the best coach and quarterback in the current era is capable of losing consecutive Super Bowls? No chance.  Belichick and Brady are facing the youngest head coach in the league in his second-season and a former Pac-12 quarterback in his third season In my mind that is a complete mismatch on the field in terms of in-game adjustments and off the field in terms of preparation.  Sean McVay and Jared Goff made great strides in 2018 but I’m a big believer of paying your dues before you get to wear the crown.  They will have countless opportunities down the road.  Nothing is ever guaranteed in professional sports and while Bill Belichick and Tom Brady could return to this stage again I’m quite certain they don’t want their legacy to possibly end on back-to-back title defeats.  The Patriots felt all season they were robbed in Super Bowl 52.  Nick Foles was simply magical but by the same token it was also the first time in the Brady/Belichick era the Patriots surpassed 500 total yards (613 actually) and lost a football game. They’ve had to live with that for a year and there is no tougher competitor in the game, than Brady, who 366 days ago personally passed for 500 yards against the Eagles and LOST.  We all watched Conference Championship Sunday.  I don’t know how many times Brady audibled and changed the play at the line of scrimmage.  I don’t recall seeing that once from Goff.  Experience makes a big difference.  I’ve heard for two weeks that it could easily be the Chiefs against the Saints. Sure New England got a significant break when Dee Ford lined up off-sides. But the Patriots also had a 524-290 advantage in total yards. Who goes to Arrowhead and outgains the Chiefs by 234- yards with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback?  It just doesn’t happen….but it did.  Total plays New England 94 KC 47.  Plus don’t forget that was also the second time the Patriots scalped the Chiefs this season and also improved their record to 6-0 versus 2018 playoff qualifying teams.  The Rams trailed the Saints 13-0 in the first quarter and 20-10 in the third quarter.  I bet you could count on one hand the amount of times New Orleans squandered a double-digit lead with Drew Brees at quarterback in the Superdome.  It just doesn’t happen…but it did.  However the Rams and Saints were almost statistically even and the game was decided by a non-call for either pass interference or helmet to helmet contact. Pick your choice.  Either way while it could be Mahomes vs Brees it really should be Brady versus Brees.  The Rams have no business being here and I am not certain they could have beat Chicago three weeks ago if the Bears weren’t upset by Foles and company.

Tom Brady dropped back to pass 90 times in the two playoff games.  Not only was he not sacked he was only hit three times.  Think the New England offensive line is peaking? Consider this: The Chargers had zero sacks on Brady. In their previous playoff game they recorded 7 SACKS at Baltimore. Kansas City had four sacks on Andew Luck and the Colts did not have a first down until less than two minutes to go in the first half. If you recall all season we heard how the Colts were vastly improved because of their offensive line had protected Luck, who took just 18 sacks in the regular-season and just one fewer than Brees.  Yet the Chargers and Chiefs didn’t record one sack on Brady and reached him three times.  Note: KC was tied with Pittsburgh for the league lead in sacks with 52.  Meanwhile in two playoff games the Rams have just three sacks and one of those games was versus Dak Prescott, who hit the turf a league-high 56 times this year.  Do you really believe the Rams are going to get to Tom Brady?  Aaron Donald was named the defensive player of the year for the second-straight season on Saturday. Yet his personal total for tackles, both solo and assisted, is just 3 ½.  For a guy that allegedly dominates a game I find it hard to fathom his total for tackles is that low in the most important game of the year. 

When New England has any semblance of balance they are virtually unbeatable. It’s amazing going game-by-game through their season this year and see the impact Sony Michel has had on the Patriots. There is a direct correlation between Michel’s unproductive games and Patriot defeats. In the five New England losses, Michel had 34, 50, 31, 57, and 59-yards.  In the six 100-yard games Michel posted the Patriots beat the Chiefs twice and won the other four games by margins of 13, 12, 14, and 31-points.  It’s interesting the Rams are here in part because of their rushing defense limiting Dallas and New Orleans to a combined 98-yards on the ground. What’s strange is Los Angeles was a lousy 23rd against the run in the regular-season and get this, the Rams allowed a LEAGUE-HIGH 5.1 yards per carry.  Michel ran for 242-yards in the two-playoff games scoring five touchdowns. Meanwhile who knows the real condition of Todd Gurley?  He carried the ball four times versus the Saints for 10-yards and caught one pass for five yards.  Gurley accounted for over 1,800 all-purpose yards from the line of scrimmage this season.  If he’s not 100 percent the Rams are in serious trouble. At this point you would have to believe the Patriots have a huge edge with Michel.  James White has 19 receptions in the two playoff games.  Rob Gronkowski should be in his best condition in months considering he had six catches versus Kansas City for 79-yards after hauling in just five passes in his four previous games combined!  Julian Edelman has been the model of consistency as a wide receiver. He has caught an amazing six catches or more and/or a touchdown in 13/14 games this season. 

The Patriots have covered nine of their last 12 playoff games.  Brady is nine years older than Rams head coach Sean McVay.  Goff’s passing numbers after the week eight injury to slot receiver Cooper Kupp dramatically declined.  Goff didn’t reach the 200-yard plateau passing in three of his last six games.  We all know Coach Belichick is the master at removing opponent’s primary weapons in key situations.  Two weeks ago Tyreek Hill had just one catch for 42-yards.  I suspect he could really blanket Brandin Cooks, who caught 65-passes for the Patriots a season ago.  And it’s not like the Patriots haven’t faced Robert Woods in the past considering he used to be a member of the Buffalo Bills and faced the Patriots twice a season. I suspect Belichick will really shuffle the defensive line with stunts to confuse Goff much like he did against Mahomes. 

Overall I thought the 2018 was a down year for the NFL.  There was a dramatic decline in terms of quality of play and despite the argument the first six-weeks of too much scoring and constant complaints of defenders not being able to defend, the final eight weeks were rather boring to this handicapper and fan.  The officiating was in prevent-mode not allowing teams to consistently advance the pigskin and the zebras in a sense became the star of the show way too often. The league is going to have to address this in the off-season because officiating declined dramatically in 2018.  But in my opinion the most-precise performance that I witnessed on both sides of the ball was New England versus the LA Chargers in the divisional round. If you witnessed that game the Patriots executed as well as anybody had all season both on offense and defense while turning Philip Rivers into a crybaby.  I could easily envision Jared Goff having a horrible game in Super Bowl 53, particularly if Todd Gurley is not a factor and the Rams getting behind early.  Every New England Super Bowl has been decided by one score or eight points or less. Not this time. Patriots by double-digits and I don’t think this is going to be close. 

 

 

HOOPS, HOOPS, HOOPS 2018 recap:


Maingate 21-0-1 from March 7th thru NCAA Title game 25*/15* plays


Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game


Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*'s last 3 years


Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018

 

 

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I get a kick out of these "analysts'. So many this week have suggested Pittsburgh will be better without Antonio Brown and Le'Veon Bell. Really? Because these same guys used to throws heaps of praise on both Brown and Bell.  Weren't they 2/3rd's of what used to be called the "Killer B's"?  All I know is it sure didn't take long for the Super Bowl champs to scoop up what was called a "distraction" in Pittsburgh and a few clowns have Bell as a possible MVP candidate.  This isn't to say JuJu Smith Schuster and James Conner aren't legitimate weapons. They are and the Steelers are certainly good enough to win the division and compete in the playoffs. But to suggest they are better without two guys that can change  a game in a heartbeat is silly.  Remember, it's between the lines that count. The media is there to always to blow stuff off the field out of proportion. It's what they do for ratings and gives the countless number of unnecessary talking heads something to babble about.  Can you imagine how Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon felt yesterday morning when the news came down. They have to be drooling about 1-on-1 coverage now because what safety in this league isn't going to be shading Antonio Brown's direction next week?  Don't be surprised if we see Gronk making a comeback now too.  Pittsburgh is 0-5 at Foxboro since 2003.  Ben Rothlisberger has won 157 games in his career and two Super Bowls and a sure Hall of Famer. He's 0-4 against Tom Brady in New England and lost here 37-16 in the 2016 AFC Championship game.  “It’s not fun there,” Roethlisberger told reporters in Pittsburgh on Wednesday. “They’re the best for a reason, coaches and players. And it’s not just like we’ve had a problem with them — the league’s had a problem with them. They’re that dominant. Playing (the Patriots) at home is hard enough. Going to their place is almost impossible.”  Since 2001, the Patriots have won an NFL-best 84.4 percent of their home games (141-26) in the regular season and playoffs — more than 10 percentage points higher than the second-place Baltimore Ravens (71.8 percent). Of those 26 losses, four came with either Cassel or Jacoby Brissett behind center, and two more came in meaningless Week 17 games Brady didn’t finish.  Brady has enjoyed similar success against Pittsburgh regardless of venue (11-3 in 14 career matchups), but Roethlisberger got the upper hand in the teams’ most recent meeting.  Last December the Steelers beat the Patriots 17-10 at Heinz Field holding Tom Brady and company to three-points over the final three quarters. But we saw in preseason, Belichick usually gets his revenge. He beat two former assistants that that got the best of him last year in the regular season. And THAT WAS IN PRESEASON!  Even "Big Ben" admits it's going to be tough to duplicate last December.  “You’re not going to surprise the Patriots twice, I promise you that,” Roethlisberger told reporters. “… You’re not going to get over on the Patriots twice. That coaching staff’s pretty good, and their players are pretty darn good, too. So we’ll have to figure some new things out.”  Thanks to my pre-programmed Amazon stick, I was able to watch all four New England preseason games with the local commentators.  Granted it was hard to get through all the "homer" BS from the guys in the booth, but it was rewarding in the sense that I could see the depth on this New England team and made me really appreciate how difficult it is to make that roster.  They interchange defenders better than any team I've seen. Everybody knows their role and Belichick doesn't put up with shit from yo-yo's.  So Antonio Brown will behave or it's one year only.  Before last December the last time the Steelers beat the Patriots was 2011.  I can easily make a case that New England and Seattle are the two toughest places to win as a visiting team. So I don't mind making the Patriots and Seahawks the Majors on the opening Sunday of the NFL.  Glad to be back guys!

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It's time guys...FOOTBALL IS HERE!


August 30th, 2019:  


Season #40 and what a journey!  


So my 1st night in the biz was in October of 1980. Game #1 of the Kansas City/Philadelphia World Series.  That was opening night for "Dial Sports" in a garage in Huntingdon Valley, PA and right outside of Philly.  I was the 'producer' and the late Mickey Charles was the on-air host.  I never would have dreamed a 21-year old kid who loved to write and gamble would still be in the business four decades later.  But once I found the passion, it was unstoppable.  I'm still as hungry as ever trying to find winners.  Let's make season #40 very, very special!


Thank you!


Mark
TheRealAnimal.com
animalsports@msn.com