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NFC Game of Year hits w/ Saints on Thursday

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4* Majors 10-3 last 13 w/ Louisville blowing 21-0 lead. 3* Saints hits

A good sign about Maingate sweeping weekend 25*. Wildcat 7-4 NFL 10*'s/23-12 all NFL

Former #1 overall hits Big 7* (Buffalo 'OVER'). Now 7-1 NFL 6* or higher!

Sweet! Big Service 25* Game of Year hits on New Orleans

Animal streaks:

11-6 NFL (Saints) since 10/13; 24-15 last 39; 30-19 last 49 since 9/15 

10-3 Majors All Football rated 4* since 10/7

Animal hoping to pick up 2014 Football where Premium Service left off:

35-17 NFL 11/22-Super Bowl

28-17 NCAA 11/29-BCS Title Game

Analysis 4* Denver Broncos Thursday:

The last time they met was in the AFC championship game last year. The Broncos won by a touchdown 24-17 but the box score indicates it shouldnít have been that close. Denver led 14-0 at halftime, had a 26-13 edge in first downs and a 363-259 edge in total yards.  I suspect the Chargers have already peaked this year.  They showed signs of a premature collapse two weeks ago barely beating Oakland on the road 31-28 and allowing almost 400 yards to the feeble Raiders.  Then last week to get out-rushed 154-69 by Kansas City at home was somewhat embarrassing.  Without Ryan Mathews and Danny Woodhead the Chargers are very limited in the backfield.  Donald Brown tried it for a while but now heís not playing because of a concussion.  Denver failed to cover their first three games and appeared to lack the killer instinct early.  I remember questioning their play-calling in game #2 against Kansas City when the Chiefs owned time of possession. Itís funny how games are early-season games are evaluated later in the season. For instance, now the Broncos opening-day win over Indianapolis (non-cover) looks impressive as does the 21-point win over Arizona in week #5 (only defeat).  Meanwhile San Diegoís win over now 3-3 Seattle in week #2 looks sensational at the time but maybe not now.  Remember four of the wins posted by the Chargers came against the Jets, Raiders, Jaguars, and Bills.  Denver has already defeated Indy, KC, Arizona, and SF all by seven points or more and the last two by a combined 46 points!  We know how difficult it is to travel and play on Thursdays if you played the previous Sunday. Thatís against San Diego along with Brandon Flowers being doubtful in the backfield.  So the San Diego secondary is not at 100 percent with corner Steve Williams battling a groin injury and corner Jason Verrett iffy with a shoulder injury. You donít want to face Peyton right now with a banged-up secondary.  These teams are heading in opposite directions.  Right now I have the Broncos at the #1 team in the league because they have the #2 rated defense in terms of yards allowed.  Plus they are #3 in the league in sacks with 21 with Von Miller leading the NFL with eight sacks.  They had six sacks alone Sunday against Colin Kaepernick, who is not the easiest guy to get down.  The leading rusher for the 49ers on Sunday night was Frank Gore with 20 yards.  I know San Diego won here last season in the regular-season 27-20. But Denver was banged up at the time.  In January they led 17-0 before the Broncos let up.  Ronnie Hillman has looked great in the Denver backfield (174 yards in two games) replacing Ball.    I just donít see anyway San Diego is going to stop wide receivers DeMaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Wes Walker, and tight end Julius Thomas.  San Diego held Denver relatively in check last year yielding just 24, 20, and 28 points to the Broncos.  But I think the linemaker here is betting for San Diego action.  The Chargers only scored one touchdown after the first quarter last week and none in the second half.  There are plenty of ATS numbers to make a case for the Chargers in this one based upon history at Mile High and as an underdog, but I prefer the Broncos and think they pull away in this one. 

5* Monsters 15-9-1 in 2013

9-year Monster 5* NCAA record: 80-65

9-year Monster 5* NFL record: 85-59 (9-4-1 in 2013) 

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95-71-5 Majors (4* or better)/32-17-3 Best Bets (5* or 4 1/2*)

Helluva way to put the wraps on Football!

NFL 5*'s in 2013 finished 9-4-1

Animal now 26-16-2 last 44 Football Majors rated 4* or higher since November 23rd going 11-3-1 in BEST BETS last 15

December to Remember in the NFL for 'The Animal'

25-10 overall NFL since December 1st

11-4 NFL Majors

31-16 NFL since 11/24 going 6-2 in Best Bets (5* and 4 1/2*) and 15-7 in Majors

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For the record 10* Totals Club rated 10*:

27-19 this year   

14-8 this year NFL

32-15 last 47 NFL

22-17 last 39

58-31 the last 89 rated 10*


10* Totals Club now 27-19 this year w/ 10*'s 

20-14 all BEST BETS rated 5* or 4 1/2* (3-1-1 Big Dance)

All Majors 70-61 rated 4* or higher in regular season Hoops

32-17-3 all 5*'s and 4 1/2*'s dating back to Football season/ 95-71-5 all Majors

Premium Service Picks since November 24th-April 7th:

NFL: 35-17-2

NCAA Football: 29-19

NCAA Basketball: 134-124

NBA Basketball: 31-31-3

Total:  230-191-10 since 11/24.   214-180 the last 394 since Turkey Day  

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2013 NFL Preseason Sensational!

NFLX Service plays in RED finish an incredible 18-3 ATS

10* Totals Club hits with 10* Saints 'OVER'

Maingate Group 15* Saints.  9-3 NFLX 25*/15* plays 

Wildcat picks up right where he left off!

10* Eagles & Jags 'OVER' (now 18-5-1 NFL 10*'s)

Plus Kelso's opening NFL 100* on Eagles

Sweet!  Texas 5* and ATS 12* Dallas covers!

North Coast finishes 9-3 NFLX

NFLX history:

3-2 Best Bets (5* or 4 1/2*) in 2012 but 9-10 in Majors (16-19-1 overall)

22-11 overall for +38 1/2 *STARS in 2011 highlighted by only 5* Denver/Seattle 'OVER' 36 1/2 in week #3

12-5-1 all Majors rated 4* or higher in 2010 including only 5* Green Bay/Indy 'OVER' 44 1/2 (59-24 Final) in week #3

13-5 all Majors rated 4* or higher in 2009 including only 5* Pittsburgh -6 in 17-0 Shutout in week #3 

3-1 Best Bets in 2011 and 10-6 in Majors

63-43 Preseason Majors since 2008



2012 (Mediocrity on Premium service):

NFL Best Bets 15-13 in 2012 with Majors after 58-38 (48-32 regular season/10-6 NFLX) in 2011

NCAA Best Bets (5* and 4 1/2) 15-14-2 in 2012 with Majors (4* or higher) 46-42-6

28-20-1 NFL Best Bet 5* or 4 1/2*'s in 2012 and 2011.

176-134 NFL Majors since start of 2010 season

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Monday Night Football Magical last 3 years:

42-22-3 last 3 years on MNF

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2012 the year of the Modified Consensus in FOOTBALL!

Service plays in RED an unbelievable 237-171-6 ATS the last 82 days or 66 games over .500.  Individual service breakdown below

10* Totals Club: 31-12 last 43 rated 10*.  18-7 NFL plays rated 10*. 3-1 in bowl 10*'s. 

Joe D: 20-7 all Footall 25* plays and now 49-20 w/ all Football rated 20* or higher w/ 20* Green Bay! and 25* Oregon.  6-0 all Football rated 35* or higher

Gameday: 14-4-1 4* or higher all football w/ 5* Okla State on 1/1 and Green Bay on 1/5.

Pure Lock: 14-3 NCAA w/ Northwestern 1/1.

Underdog: 10-5-1 NCAA/10-4 NFL

Maingate Group: 21-15 all Football 25* after missing Kent by 1/2-point Sunday night.

Kelso: 13-4 NCAA 100* or higher/ 8-1 NCAA 200*

Wildcat: 23-7-2 last 32 rated 10*. 17-5-1 NFL 10*'s on the year

Animal FINAL Hoop Records:

9-2 w/ all NCAA 5*'s/0-1 NBA

74-56-2 Majors last 65 days

86-62-2 last 150 Hoop Majors

Maingate nails 25* on 'UNDER' to finish NBA playoffs

Kudos to Maingate Group w/ 25*  'OVER' in NCAA title game Monday and Wichita State Monday.  17-5-1 NCAA 25*'s

10* Totals Club nails 10* on Syracuse 'UNDER' in Final Four)

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NCAA Foots:  74-60

NFL: 76-54

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Analysis of 4 1/2* Baltimore in Super Bowl 47:

I should preface this analysis by stating I played the Ravens +5 Ĺ and a six-point teaser of the Ravens +11 Ĺ and ĎOVERí 43 during the late stages of the 4th quarter of the New England/Baltimore game offshore when Heritage and 5dimes both jumped the gun a little.  So I got very good value with my Ďsideí, teaser Ďsideí, and not so much with my Ďteaser totalí considering I teased it from 49 to 43 rather than the possibility of 41 Ĺ later (but the side wouldnít have been +11 Ĺ). 
Essentially I believe this Baltimore Raven squad is indeed a team of destiny.  Three factors come to mind:  Owner Art Modell died at the age of 87 just days before opening day in September.  On November 25th Ray Rice ran 30 yards on a late 4th quarter 4th down and 29 at San Diego to set up the tying field goal and eventually lead to an overtime win over the Chargers.  Then of course the Jacoby Jones catch getting behind the Denver secondary in the final minute to set up overtime at Denver and allow the Ravens to advance to the 2nd round of the playoffs.  Maybe itís a clichť, but you just donít see those typesou of plays occur too often.
I like going w/ hot teams in the Super Bowl and nobody is hotter than Joe Flacco with an 8-0 ratio of touchdowns to interceptions in the playoffs. While Flacco has certainly won his share of playoff games in the past, he has been nothing but brilliant in the playoffs getting rid of the ball quicker and making his completions count.  While he doesnít throw for a high percentage, he certainly is productive and throws one of the best deep passes in the game today.  The fact the Ravens won on the road at Denver against Peyton and New England against Brady playing almost nine quarters of football is nothing short of remarkable.  Ray Lewis is also playing out of his mind right now and thereís no question that Flacco is playing his best football of his career while the Ravens, especially on defense, are the healthiest they have been all season. Some will point toward the regular-season blowout defeat to Baltimore, the loss at Washington with a similar QB in RGIII compared to Kaepernick, and the regular-season home defeat to Denver as red flags. But I can assure you this is a much different stop unit now.  Baltimore was missing key people in all of those losses Ė (L. Webb (out for the year but this was their first game without him), R. Lewis and the first game back for Suggs) against Houston. They were without Ellerbe, Lewis, Suggs, J. Smith and C. Brown at Washington and without B. Pollard, Ellerbe, Lewis and OG Marshal Yanda against Denver.
I really canít find a weakness with the Ravens and I firmly believed this game would be a virtual pick-em.  To me, San Francisco was rather ordinary on the road this season and extremely lucky to be here wining the turnover battle at Atlanta two weeks ago. My contention is that if Matt Ryan doesnít fumble the snap immediately on the drive after the David Akers field goal that hit the top of the upright, this analysis would include the Falcons and not the 49ers.  Atlanta had a golden opportunity to go up 10 points and send the 49ers packing and nobody will convince me the 49ers didnít get countless breaks in that game.  There was obvious holding on Roddy White on the 4th down play for Atlanta late but the umpire had his back turned on the play.  Plus I really think the late shoulder injury was bothering Ryan and the Falcons should have more patient in preparation of that 4th down snap.  I saw the 49ers struggle not once but twice against St. Louis and they looked awful at Seattle, albeit the week after the huge win in Foxboro and then a flight across the country. Plus letís not forget the Pats in that defeat to the 49ers accumulated 520 yards and 34 points despite losing turnovers 4-2.  The 49ers also looked bad at Minnesota early in the season.  A season ago I felt the 49ers were perhaps the best team in football and were a fumble or two away from beating the Giants in the playoffs to get to the Super Bowl.  The defense a season ago was more dominating for whatever reason.  This yearís defense allowed 31 points in three of their last four and 24 points against Atlanta in the first half alone two Sundays ago before the Falcons imploded with turnovers in the 2nd half.  I suspect the Justin Smith nagging injury is a huge intangible for this defense because their sack numbers dropped considerably down the stretch. Iím just not impressed with San Francisco on the road.
I really like the way Baltimoreís defense looked in the playoffs.  Limiting Denver at Mile High to 398 yards in virtually five quarters of football was sensational and then holding Brady and the Patriots scoreless in the entire 2nd half at Foxboro was something I could never anticipate by any stop unit in this league considering the magnitude of the game.  Sure you can blame the wind, the cold, blah, blah, blah, or say that Brady was just off. But Iím sure the Baltimore pressure and pass coverage had just as much to do with Brady being unable to produce at home.  Thatís a phrase you havenít been able to say too often over the years for #12 in Foxboro.  Letís give some credit to Ray Lewis and company, who as mentioned, is now healthy. 
Iíll take Anquan Boldin and Ray Rice anytime on my team. Boldin is a guy that has the hands of Tony Gonzales and one of the best route runners in the league.  Plus he just makes the tough catches in traffic.  Rice is just impossible to tackle and is capable of breaking a run anytime.  Heís so low to the ground and is excellent at catching screen passes and turn nothing into something.  Rice caught 61 passes this year or just three off the team lead (Boldin).  I love the speed element too with Torrey Smith and Jacoby Jones. These guys can certainly stretch the field and keep the corners deep as well as occupy the safeties making tight end Pitta and RB Rice extremely dangerous.  Donít underestimate Bernard Pierce either out of the backfield.  He had 53 carries for 381 yards in his last five games and is becoming yet another real weapon for this team.  He had three games averaging 8.8, 7.9, and 5.8 yards in his last five (more on him in the prop section).
Itís easy to see the talent level and potential of Colin Kaepernick.  The 49ers officially averaged five more points per game with him over the departed Alex Smith.  But letís not forget that Kaepernick isnít the most experienced guy around and his best game as a pro came against an aging Green Bay defense when guys like Clay Matthews and Darren Woodson were recently returning from injury.  Plus itís quite obvious the Green Bay defense is severely needing a complete overhaul and they made a blunder (Dom Capers strikes again) by playing man-to-man rather than zone and when the 49er receivers went deep Kaepernick has running lanes galore.  Sure he certainly beat Atlanta with his arm and not his legs but he was assisted by Falcon turnover and an injury to John Abraham made the Falcon pass rush virtually non-existent.  I donít think it will be like that in New Orleans with dominating defensive players like Kruger and Suggs blitzing along with nose tackle Cody and defensive end Ngata clogging the middle.  Needless to say I love the Baltimore safeties in Pollard and Reed.  Any stop unit that certainly frustrated Peyton Manning and Tom Brady in consecutive weeks on their home field can limit Colin Kaepernick playing in his 10th lifetime game.  Iíll try it and especially as an UNDERDOG. 
I also give the kicking edge to Baltimore with Tucker extremely accurate and better with long range field goals over the erratic David Akers.  
Bottom line: As mentioned above, I canít find a weakness in the Ravens.  Flacco is playing out of his mind and the defense played lights out against Denver and New England.  I think the Ravens have a great shot at winning this game outright and love grabbing more than a field goal.

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